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this early vote has turned out. look at this. colorado, 77% has already voted. nevada. 72%. north carolina, 63% has already voted. in florida 53%. iowa 44%. and ohio 31%. john dickerson and i were talking about this earlier today. we could have most of the results already by the people that have come out early and that's why the campaigns spent so much time on getting out the vote early, this ground game on these early votes. >> pelley: we'll come back to you early and often. john dickerson is our cbs news political director. john is going to be showing us the various ways that the candidates can get to the 270 electoral votes necessary to twin presidency. john? >> well, first, scott, let's follow up on what bob was saying. we're going to dispatch with 41 of the states, the majority of the country cbs estimates based on the polling that those states are either going to go to barack obama or to mitt romney. that gives barack obama a start where he's likely to get 237 electoral votes, mitt romney is likely to get 191 electoral votes. so here we are at the beginning of the evening, nothing ha
of the hour we'll take you to nevada and wisconsin. first, back to sole dad. >>> at the end of the day, it's all going to be about the math. in order to win, you have to hit the magic number of 270 electoral votes. let's get to christine romans who is crunching the numbers. >> the rose to 270. what if it were a draw at 269? it's possible. there are four 269 scenarios. statistically, there are 120 different scenarios. four with the swing states. this is hypothetical, remember. the map is assuming that states that are actually leaning go in the direction that they're leaning right now. wisconsin, ohio, and new hampshire, new hampshire with the four electoral votes, if they go for obama and romney wins nevada, colorado, iowa, virginia, and the 29 over there in florida, then you're at a tie. worst nightmare for both parties. 269 each. now a note for iowa here, this is assuming it goes red, it goes for romney with the six electoral votes. recent polls there showing a slight lead, actually, for obama. if wisconsin and ohio vote democrat, you know, technically you could think -- you could conclud
marquez is in las vegas, nevada. ed lavandera is in denver, colorado, for us this morning. john zarrella comes to us live from plantation, florida. we want to begin with complete comprehensive coverage with john berman checking in to see how our correspondents are faring. >> thanks, soledad. the candidates are all over the place today. president obama and mitt romney hold atriallies in seven states today. a final frenetic day of campaigning across the battleground. for the president, he begins in wisconsin, a state that has voted true blue since 1984 but it is almost always close. and with paul ryan a native wisconsin son on the republican ticket, the obama team is taking no chances. they've called in the cavalry to help, including the boss, bruce springsteen to seal the deal. dan lothian is live in madison, wisconsin. good morning, dan. >> good morning, and you're right, bruce springsteen will be warming up the crowd here with a 30-minute concert before the president comes out. the campaign has been using these big names not only to draw in big audiences, but also to energize them. i ca
they went to nevada, colorado, iowa, wisconsin, ohio, virginia and new hampshire and these are the ones who have been the surrogates with mrs. obama, no, my husband is not a cold fish. we have dinner every night with the kids. you should know him. you should see that smile. i love him. you should love him. mrs. romney who is very close to her husband in the strategy, she plays a bigger role than just being the wife of, she is the one who said, he is not a stiff man. look at us. and, by the way, you talked about the grandchildren. there are 18 grandchildren. 13 of them are boys. >> all right. let us put that to the decision desk and see what that means. okay, barbara, stand by, team. we know you have so much more you're eager to say and we'll take a break at election night headquarters 2012 reporting on one of the great nights in democracy, one of the great privileges it is to vote as the polls still are open and a lot of this country projections come in and we have more, of course, to report on what social media is saying when we come back. >> announcer: multitouchscenes courtesy of microso
battleground states pretty much in the bag. they think nevada, wisconsin, iowa, and new hampshire are all pretty much in the president's column. they feel like ohio is almost certain to go for them. and that, obviously, would give them more than 270 electoral votes there. they think they are a little ahead in virginia. i feel pretty confident about virginia, they think colorado and florida are -- they think colorado and florida are pure toss-ups right now. they could win those, they might lose them and as i said, north carolina's the only one of the nine battleground states where they are pessimistic, but the rest they feel good about. and when you think about that altogether, that's why they feel really self-assured they're going to win the electoral college tonight if not the popular vote. >> can you imagine? to finish out the two tiny villages in new hampshire, 23 votes for president obama, nine for romney, and tonight, the polls begin closing in eastern in kentucky at 6:00 eastern time. our first big clue on how the election might unfold will come at 7:00 when the polls close in anoth
. mid-70s in nevada and 70 in richmond. 71 in oakland, mid-70s in danville and 74 in livermore. 73 in san jose, a nice day for perhaps getting outdoors and having some fun. 72 in redwood city and 70 san mateo, 67 in half moon bay. and the extended forecast shows you a warmer day for sunday. remember, we fall back into the overnight hours tonight and into tomorrow morning. we gain an hour of sleep as we waking up tomorrow morning mostly sunny skies and the temperatures well above normal at this point. as we get into monday and tuesday, we're looking at low to mid-80s in the forecast with some of the hottest spots flirting with the 90-degree mark by wednesday and partly cloudy skies and cooling it back and we have the possibility of rain coming a little later in the week. coming up, i'll have a look at your lunchtime numbers. >>> amateur crabbers will be outsetting their traps this morning. people that crab for fun can go out and try to catch them. they get a head start on commercial crabber that's don't get start for another 12 days. the sports crabbing season ends june 30th. >>> an
are going to hold florida, virginia, nevada and colorado. what we are seeing is very high support for the president. so what we are seeing is about 74% of latinos saying they are either certain to or very likely to vote for the president and the worst case scenario, 64% of latinos are saying they are certain to vote for the president. is so with that, you are going to secure those states and don't forget, there is still a smattering of latinos in north carolina, wisconsin and iowa. 3%, 4%, but when it is so close, that 3% of mobilized latino turnout is going to make the difference. >> on, let's talk about pennsylvania because when we bring up close, pennsylvania right now, 47 to 47 in a state that normally, the president would have a comfortable lead in. stephanie cutter said on "morning joe" today that it's not realistic that governor romney should make a play for pennsylvania or even think about winning pennsylvania. what's your reaction to that? >> i'm glad they're giving governor romney advice because if he follows the advice, it will be the wrong advice. pennsylvania is in pl
states to get to 270. if you look at ohio, if you look at wisconsin, if you look at nevada, if you look at iowa, the president has been consist eventually in the lead there. and romney basically has to run the table to even have a shot. >> but the republican argument, ari, which was the john kerry argument, which has always been the argument in these situations, is when the incumbent polls below 50, the incumbent is in danger no matter what the other number is. so if the incumbent is at 48, the challenger is at 46, the chal enner is probably in a better position, most of the time. however, we're making new mathematical history in these campaigns all the time. and you can see that argument, because it's an old argument. it's been around a while. it didn't work for john kerry and it's hard to say what's going to happen now. >> yeah. i spent over a year working seven days a week for john kerry so i'm familiar with that argument, i remember that argument. i think the critical question then as now is whether the challenger is viewed to be credible by election day. if you look at polling of a
that leaves is nevada, colorado or iowa. the president ahead or tied in all three of the states. >> that's the situation that mitt romney is in. it is, he's in a very narrow path to the electoral college victory. and exactly as you laid it out. it's as if he has to draw an inside straight in this campaign in order to win tonight. he has to do all those things and the path is still narrow to win this. >> matthew dowd, we'll see you tonight. >> all right, gentlemen. >>> and this year, whether it's tweeting, facebooking or never mind e-mailing, social media has shaped this campaign like never before. it's a new frontier for both candidates. and voters and campaigns are able to reach each other through millions, each other, with the click of a mouse. josh is at the special big board with what everybody is searching for with the final campaigns want to leave us with. hey, josh. >> hey, elizabeth. you're right. google searches usually give us a less-varnished look of what people are hunting for before they vote today. as opposed to what perhaps they're telling pollsters or their families and f
, nevada, wisconsin, new hampshire, and either north carolina or virginia. that's extremely doable. >> mike, what poll jumps out at you? >> "columbus dispatch," highly accurate, two points, margin of error, statistical poll, a mail-in poll, a better sample with a long tail. >> i've been hearing people saying they are tired. want this to be over. they are tired of the commercials. tired of the phone calls. tired of the coverage in some cases. will voter fatigue play into this, and if it does, who does it help and who does it hurt? >> i think romney has the intensity advantage, but my guess is a lot of people will grumble and vote. hell, i'm in the business and i'm tired but i'm going to vote. >> hillary? >> i was in florida a couple weeks ago and just the assault on simple tv watching is tremendous, but, you know, i actually think that something like hurricane sandy brings home to people in a very tragic but important way how important government is, and i think that matters and people will vote. >> real quickly, just both your answers to this. what are the chances wednesday morning american
and in colorado, nevada, places where he feels like they need to have that firewall where even if romney wins ohio, if the president can hold those states and keep romney from picking one of those off, which he'd still have to do even if he won ohio, they can still win the election. he's camping out in those places and spending more time there than down in florida or in virginia or a couple other of the really big states where there are a lot of electoral votes in the south. >> no doubt that the two candidates are the big pieces. other things to watch tonight and through the weekend, first lady, michelle obama, joe biden, also big ohio presence this weekend. president clinton on the democratic side doing a lot of campaigning. and tonight in ohio near cincinnati, romney, ryan, their families, and all their major surrogates, minus chris christie are going to be doing a big rally, john mccain, marco rubio, rob portman, one big rally in ohio and then spreading out. that's going to be a big event. and major surrogate action on both sides, nobody believing anything, as we like to say, on the field. >> a
. >> karen, you and i were talking about this earlier, in a place like nevada where shelly berkeley against dean heller, dean heller questioned the legitimacy of the 14th amendment, against the dream act, this is in a state with a sizable latino population. >> that's right. >> the question is, when -- when does the alarm bell get rung? when do people understand this is not a tenable strategy going forward? >> potentially after this election. since 2010, i've long said you can win in these gerrymander districts if you're a tea partier but statewide or nationwide you really can't without, again, be appealing to a broader base of people. and who knows whether or not the republican party will heed the message. i actually hope part of what the results yield tonight is a message to whoever gets elected that this idea of not collaborating, not working together is unacceptable because i think most americans are pretty sick of that. >> governor, you are a denison of the keystone state and i ask you, in terms of the senate race with bob casey and tom smith, you said casey, he hasn't run a campaign, h
here. the president who will be campaigning today, of course, at nevada and colorado following this event. tomorrow he is in ohio. the weekend unbelievable the schedule here. we are talking about a blitz across seven battleground states. do we expect that the message is going to change? what is going to be the closing argument we're going hear from this president? >> you know, i think it is -- it isn't really just -- this to me, this event here, is really the kickoff to the final push. changed a little bit, obviously, because of storm sandy, but this became the kickoff, the final push. by my count he has 17 stops through monday before election day. who knows? more could be added. that may change. this is the first of 17, and when you look at it, more than half of those stops are going to be where? yes, ohio, but also here in wisconsin and iowa. this kind of midwest firewall as some have referred to it. he will be making his case in this region for the auto bailout. if you heard him make that today. he will be making obviously his case for fairness for the middle class, and that
they need to come back here one more time. we go to nevada, then ohio, then florida, ohio. then virginia, then ohio. they feel like even though they have got an event this afternoon at the airport in columbus they need to come back here one more time. very unusual for a presidential candidate to come out to do an event on election day. typically they wrap up around midnight as governor romney is planning to tonight in manchester, new hampshire with kid rock and others and go back to the home base and sit there and go vote. they wait for election results to come in that night. governor romney and his campaign feeling because they feel like they could grab ohio? they have been very confident about that with their conversations with me or they feel like they need to come back here because it is slipping away. we also don't know what type of event it will be or where it will be. the columbus, dayton area has been a focus. they want to reinforce ham milt ton county -- hamilton county in cincinnati or collier county in cleveland. we don't know what will happen or what form it will take because
to appeal to hispanics in that state. just like nevada. the republican state until there was this large growth of hispanics. >> pelley: we're told that the president's motorcade has arrived at mccormick place and we presume that the president is back stage preparing his remarks. >> he may not have written a big speech. >> pelley: speech in hand, he may be going over it before he steps out. we expect him any moment and nancy cordes is at mccormick place for us tonight. nancy. >> scott we know the president has arrived because we started to see some of his senior staffers piled in. we saw whitehouse chief of staff, we saw his press secretary and we saw some of the president's friends dating back to high school who have been with him on this final leg of his final campaign just keeping him company, trying to keep it real for him as he flies from rally to rally while also trying to do his day job as president of the united states. so i spotted mike ramos, a good friend of his from punaho high school in ey hawaii. other buddies as well whose joined the president for a pick up basketball ga
Search Results 0 to 30 of about 31 (some duplicates have been removed)

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